Global Stability Indices of the Transmission and Bilinear Control Functions for Tobacco Smoking Epidemic

Authors

  • Bassey Echeng Bassey Department of Mathematics, University of Cross River State (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria. Author
  • Igwe O Ewona Department of Physics, University of Cross River State – (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria Author
  • Adagba Odey Henry Department of Industrial mathematics and Applied Statistics Ebonyi State University, Abakaliki, Nigeria Author
  • Delphine Rexson Bassey Department of Botany, University of Calabar, Calabar, Nigeria Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47363/JMCA/2023(2)191

Keywords:

Bassey Echeng Bassey, Igwe O Ewona, Adagba Odey Henry, Delphine Rexson Bassey

Abstract

Background: The seeming insurmountable effect of tobacco-smoking, coupled with intense laxity by society towards the avalanche consequential effects of tobacco-smoking consumption and the yet-to-be-available mathematical model for comprehensive treatment of multiple effects of tobacco-smoking, necessitated this present investigation. The present research arguably presented an insight into the global stability indices of not just the impact of smoking transmission but explicitly demonstrated the methodological application of designated bilinear control functions in the presence of screening techniques for the eradication of consequential effects of smoking and tobacco consumption.

Methods: The model explored deterministic 6-subpopulations, formulated using first-order differential equations. System interactions was investigated using bilinear control functions with system well-posedness established. Furthermore, system smoking generation number for both off- and onsettreatment scenarios was determined. Analytic predictions for both local and global indices explored second additive compound matrix in conjunction with Lozinski measure . Numerical simulations evolved Runge-Kutta of order of precision 4 in a Mathcad surface.

Results: Accompanying simulations indicated protracted initial asymptomatic saddle period of smoking infection for t f < 140 days under the off-treatment scenario. Inducement of bilinear control functions under screening method yielded drastic reduction to near zero within the first t f < 80 days as vindicated by the exponential rejuvenation of potential smokers.

Conclusion: Investigation concludes that eradication of consequential effects of tobacco-smoking is achievable provided both smokers, tobacco companies and the governments implement concurrently, the application of designated bilinear control functions the world over. Immensely, the study exhibits mutual benefits to the society and scientists in the field of Bio-mathematics and epidemiologists.

Author Biographies

  • Bassey Echeng Bassey, Department of Mathematics, University of Cross River State (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria.

    Bassey Echeng Bassey, Department of Mathematics, University of Cross River State (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria.  

  • Igwe O Ewona, Department of Physics, University of Cross River State – (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria

    Department of Physics, University of Cross River State – (Unicross), Calabar, Nigeria

  • Adagba Odey Henry, Department of Industrial mathematics and Applied Statistics Ebonyi State University, Abakaliki, Nigeria

    Department of Industrial mathematics and Applied Statistics Ebonyi State University, Abakaliki, Nigeria

  • Delphine Rexson Bassey, Department of Botany, University of Calabar, Calabar, Nigeria

    Department of Botany, University of Calabar, Calabar, Nigeria

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Published

2023-12-26