Analysis of the Recent Evolution of the Global Coffee Market: Determinants of Price Increases and Perspectives on Sector Sustainability (2023–2025) – Review

Authors

  • Mihaela Maria Lăpădat University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania. Author
  • Ionela Florentina Toma University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania. Author
  • Ana Iulia Nicodim University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania. Author
  • Andreea Maria Pîndaru University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania and University of Bucharest, Faculty of Biology, Department of Botany and Microbiology, Romania. Author
  • Silvia Nicoleta Iacob University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania. Author
  • Dana Cătălina Popa University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania. Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47363/0x1xc279

Keywords:

Global Coffee Market, Price Dynamics, Volatility, Climate Change, Sustainability Sector, Traceability, Global Value Chain

Abstract

The present review examines the recent evolution of the global coffee market during the 2023–2025 period, with a particular focus on the factors that have driven the significant increase in international prices and on the effects of this dynamic on the sustainability of the sector. Based on the relevant literature and the FAO documents consulted, the analysis highlights that the rise in international quotations was closely associated with supply disruptions, mainly caused by adverse climatic conditions in major producing countries such as Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia, and other key coffeeproducing states, compounded by logistical difficulties and additional trade pressures. In this context, price volatility cannot be explained solely by the relationship between supply and demand, but must also be examined in connection with the structural vulnerabilities of the global value chain, the high exposure of coffee crops to climate-related risks, and the essential role of smallholder producers, who make a significant contribution to global production. At the same time, the analysis shows that the current challenges facing the coffee sector go beyond the strictly economic dimension, encompassing relevant issues such as traceability, supply chain transparency, increasingly stringent sustainability requirements, and the social and environmental costs associated with production. Looking ahead, the reduction of areas suitable for coffee cultivation under the impact of climate change may intensify market instability and lead to a reconfiguration of the relationships among production, trade, and consumption. In conclusion, this review supports the need for integrated interventions aimed at strengthening climate resilience, fostering innovation, enhancing traceability, and ensuring fair support for smallholder farmers, with a view to developing a more stable and sustainable coffee sector.

Author Biographies

  • Mihaela Maria Lăpădat, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

    Mihaela Maria Lăpădat, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

  • Ionela Florentina Toma, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

    Ionela Florentina Toma, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

  • Ana Iulia Nicodim, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

    Ana Iulia Nicodim, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

  • Andreea Maria Pîndaru, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania and University of Bucharest, Faculty of Biology, Department of Botany and Microbiology, Romania.

    Andreea Maria Pîndaru, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania and University of Bucharest, Faculty of Biology, Department of Botany and Microbiology, Romania.

  • Silvia Nicoleta Iacob, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

    Silvia Nicoleta Iacob, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

  • Dana Cătălina Popa, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

    Dana Cătălina Popa, University of Agronomic Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Bucharest, Faculty of Animal Productions Engineering and Management, Department of Production and Processing Technologies, Romania.

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Published

2026-07-07

Issue

Vol. 8 No. 4 (2026): Volume 8 Issue 4

Section

Articles